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Survivor: Pearl Islands
RNG Predictions

Compiled by Philip N. Zeman, Editor-in-Chief
9.18.2003

Welcome to ASM's Survivor: Pearl Island RNG Predictions! You might be asking yourself, "'RNG'? What's 'RNG'?" Well, we here at ASM believe in numbers, in technology -- things that can be explained by science. Science and reality are intermixed. What better way, then, to predict winners of a reality show than using a random number generator (RNG)?

I hear some of you scoffing, because you know what happened the last time we used an RNG. We quit looking at the WWE's Tough Enough 3 because it was just so embarassing. Fear not! We are back!

To pick the winners, first, we needed to get a list of contestants. These were taken from the Official Survivor website . So as not to introduce any bias or weighting, these names were written down as presented on the website. Then, our random number generator chose the first person to be voted off the island. That name was removed from the list, and the generator chose the second name, etc. We then were down to one final name who is the winner as projected by RNG.

Here's how this will work. Every week we will update the chart with who got voted off. Then, a new set of RNG picks will be generated and posted, but rather than replacing the previous set, it will be added to our table. That way, we can see if our RNG system gets "smarter" as time goes on.

Why would we keep any incorrect picks in the table? Why not destroy the evidence? Well, we want as much statistical data as possible, In addition, we here at ASM have nothing to hide.

We also have nothing to gain, which is good, since we don't expect a high percentage of correct picks. Again.

Pick/Actual #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7 #8 #9 #10 #11 #12 #13 #14 #15 Winner Actual: Nicole Ryan S. Lillian Burton Michelle Trish Shawn Osten TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD Episode: 9.18.03 9.25.03 10.2.03 10.9.03 10.16.03 10.23.03 10.30.03 11.6.03 11.13.03 11.20.03 11.26.03 12.4.03 RNG #1: Tijuana RNG #2: Jon Ryan S. RNG #3: Trish Trish Sandra RNG #4: Darrah Ryan O. Darrah Sandra RNG #5: Ryan S. Christa Christa Shawn Sandra RNG #6: Sandra Burton Rupert Osten Osten Tijuana RNG #7: Shawn Lillian Andrew Andrew Michelle Osten Osten RNG #8: Lillian Tijuana Lillian Jon Jon Trish Andrew RNG #9: Ryan O. Andrew Shawn Burton Tijuana Jon Jon Jon RNG #10: Rupert Rupert Ryan O. Christa Shawn Andrew Darrah Christa RNG #11: Osten Darrah Osten Darrah Christa Christa Sandra Tijuana RNG #12: Michelle Sandra Tijuana Tijuana Andrew Darrah Christa Andrew RNG #13: Christa Jon Jon Ryan O. Ryan O. Rupert Ryan O. Rupert RNG #14: Andrew Michelle Trish Trish Darrah Shawn Tijuana Ryan O. RNG #15: Burton Shawn Michelle Rupert Rupert Sandra Shawn Sandra Winner: Nicole Osten Burton Michelle Trish Ryan O. Rupert Darrah Date Generated: 9.18.03 9.25.03 9.29.03 10.9.03 10.10.03 10.23.03 10.24.03 10.31.03 TBD TBD TBD TBD

STATISTICS Total Number of Picks: 91 Total Number of Potential Picks: 54 Number of Correct Picks: 2 Number of Incorrect Picks: 54 Percentage of Correct Picks: 3.7% Percentage of Incorrect Picks: 96.3% Note: Percentages are calculated using the Number of Correct/Incorrect Picks and dividing by Total Number of Potential Picks.